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Gold was in positive territory on the morning of Tuesday November 22 in rangebound trading in London while investors await the minutes of the previous US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) tomorrow.
The spot gold price was recently quoted at $1,218.45/1,218.85 per oz, up $3 on Monday's close. Trade has ranged from $1,213.75 to $1,221.05 so far.
"Gold kept its head above water, with technical-based buying supporting the market. However, with the market increasing bets on a December rate hike in the US, this buying is unlikely to persist in the short term," ANZ said.
Investors will scrutinise the minutes from the previous FOMC meeting for hints on when and how quickly the Fed will raise interest rates. Market participants currently see a 95.4% chance of a rate increase in December, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
"With investors' dual focus on the buoyant equities markets and this Wednesday's FOMC minutes, gold and the rest of the precious metals have fallen out of favour. Consolidation... is likely to be the main driver leading into the FOMC minutes," Commerzbank said.
In currencies, the dollar index has eased since peaking at 101.49 last Friday, its highest since April 2003. It was recently at 100.70, down 0.12% on the previous close.
In the other precious metals, the spot silver price was up 20 cents at $16.860/16.880 per oz. Platinum climbed $12 to $944/954 per oz and palladium at $737/743 per oz was $15 higher.
The World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) forecasts global platinum demand in 2016 to fall 3% year-on-year to 8,040,000 oz. It sees total platinum supply at a marginally lower 7,870,000 oz year-on-year, it said in its quarterly report today.
Total platinum supply in 2017 is seen dropping by 2% to 7,745,000 oz while mining supply will be flat year-on-year in 6,000,000 oz. Platinum recycling will decline to 1,745,000 oz, down 6% year-on-year, the WPIC predicted.
It forecasts total platinum demand in 2017 to fall 2% year-on-year to 7,845,000 oz, with projected growth in jewellery demand unable to offset expected declines in automotive, industrial and investment demand, the WPIC added.
Platinum market deficit set to shrink in 2017 - WPIC
* Platinum market expected to see 100koz shortfall next year * Diesel share of European car market tipped to fall * Bar, coin investment seen weakening in 2017 By Jan Harvey LONDON, Nov 22 The platinum market deficit will shrink to its narrowest since 2011 next year, the World Platinum Investment Council said on Tuesday, as a drop in investment and diesel's waning share of the European car market pressure demand. The WPIC also cut its expected platinum market shortfall for this year to 170,000 ounces from the 520,000 ounces predicted in September, citing a larger than expected drop in Chinese platinum jewellery demand, and higher recycling. That deficit will likely shrink to 100,000 ounces in 2017, it said, cutting above-ground stocks of the metal to 2.045 million ounces by the end of next year, the WPIC said. "It's all good and well to say that metal is available from above-ground stocks, but as soon as the vaulted holdings aren't for sale, any deficit makes for concern, especially from industrial users," the WPIC's director of research Trevor Raymond said. Autocatalyst demand is expected to decline 1 percent next year, the WPIC said, as diesel's overall share of the autocatalyst market shrinks. Demand for platinum for use in catalytic converters was flat this year, it said, in the face of concerns that last year's Volkswagen emissions scandal would dent demand for diesel cars, which use a higher loading of platinum in their autocatalysts. "At the moment, the 2016 percentage of diesels on European roads is 50 percent. Our forecast for next year includes a 48.5 percent diesel share, so that's a fairly aggressive fall," Raymond said. There has also been a move to other forms of emissions control technology, he said. Investment in platinum, which is expected to have risen 15 percent this year on the back of strong coin and bar demand, particularly in Japan, is forecast to fall by more than a quarter next year, the WPIC said. It expects bar and coin investment to lighten, and demand for platinum-backed exchange-traded funds, which tailed off recently after a strong start to the year, to be little changed. Overall platinum demand is tipped to fall 3 percent this year to 8.04 million ounces, the WPIC said. Jewellery demand is expected to slip by 10 percent, or 300,000 ounces, as buying in number one consumer China drops for a second year. On the supply side of the market, refined production by mining companies is predicted to have fallen 3 percent this year. The WPIC revised up its forecast for recycled platinum supply this year to 1.86 million ounces from 1.745 million in September, due chiefly to rising jewellery recycling in China. PLATINUM SUPPLY/DEMAND ('000 OZ)* 2015 2016 2017 (f) (f) Refined production 6,150 5,970 6,070 Change in producer inventory 45 40 -70 Total mine output 6,195 6,010 6,000 Recycling 1,710 1,860 1,745 TOTAL SUPPLY 7,905 7,870 7,745 Automotive demand 3,395 3,390 3,360 Jewellery 2,880 2,580 2,625 Industrial 1,685 1,720 1,610 Investment 305 350 250 TOTAL DEMAND 8,265 8,040 7,845 Balance -360 -170 -100 Above-ground stocks 2,315 2,145 2,045 * Source: World Platinum Investment Council, Platinum Quarterly Q3 2016